Our rankings
Oilers 65%
Lightning #16 vs Oilers #1 in our rankings (network centrality).
Overall: venue ignored · using games through Nov 2, 2026
Our pick: Oilers, 59% to win · projected 3.3–3.5
Oilers 65%
Lightning #16 vs Oilers #1 in our rankings (network centrality).
Oilers 70%
Oilers by 1.9 goals here, from 6 comparisons.
Oilers 53%
Projected Lightning 3.3, Oilers 3.5 from opponent-adjusted goals scored and allowed.
Against the same teams: Lightning went 4–3, Oilers went 6–1. The edge compares average margins, as played.
| Opponent | Lightning | Oilers | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| L 1–5 away, Oct 1 L 1–4 away, Oct 13 |
W 4–1 away, Nov 1 | EDM +6.5 | |
| W 5–3 away, Oct 10 | W 4–0 away, Oct 31 | EDM +2.0 | |
| L 4–5 away, Oct 24 | L 2–4 home, Oct 15 W 6–2 away, Oct 17 |
EDM +2.0 | |
| W 4–3 home, Oct 15 | W 3–1 home, Oct 3 | EDM +1.0 | |
| W 3–2 home, Oct 8 | W 4–3 home, Oct 20 | Even | |
| W 4–2 home, Oct 17 | W 9–7 away, Oct 1 | Even |