Our rankings
Lightning 61%
Lightning #16 vs Kings #21 in our rankings (network centrality).
Overall: venue ignored · using games through Nov 2, 2026
Our pick: Lightning, 58% to win · projected 3.4–2.8
Lightning 61%
Lightning #16 vs Kings #21 in our rankings (network centrality).
Kings 54%
Kings by 0.4 goals here, from 4 comparisons.
Lightning 56%
Projected Lightning 3.4, Kings 2.8 from opponent-adjusted goals scored and allowed.
Against the same teams: Lightning went 3–2, Kings went 3–1. The edge compares average margins, as played.
| Opponent | Lightning | Kings | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| L 1–5 away, Oct 1 L 1–4 away, Oct 13 |
W 6–3 away, Oct 26 | LA +6.5 | |
| W 6–2 away, Oct 20 | L 1–2 away, Oct 10 | TB +5.0 | |
| W 3–1 home, Oct 3 | W 5–2 away, Oct 20 | LA +1.0 | |
| W 5–3 away, Oct 10 | W 3–2 away, Oct 22 | TB +1.0 |