Our rankings
Lightning 51%
Lightning #16 vs Islanders #18 in our rankings (network centrality).
Overall: venue ignored · using games through Nov 2, 2026
Our pick: Lightning, 53% to win · projected 3.3–3.0
Lightning 51%
Lightning #16 vs Islanders #18 in our rankings (network centrality).
Lightning 51%
Lightning by 0.1 goals here, from 5 comparisons.
Lightning 54%
Projected Lightning 3.3, Islanders 3.0 from opponent-adjusted goals scored and allowed.
Against the same teams: Lightning went 2–3, Islanders went 3–1. The edge compares average margins, as played.