Lightning vs Senators Prediction

Overall: venue ignored · using games through Nov 2, 2026

50%5

Toss-up: Senators by a hair (50.4%) · projected 3.5–3.2

Senators 56%

Lightning #16 vs Senators #5 in our rankings (network centrality).

Lightning 56%

Lightning by 0.6 goals here, from 5 comparisons.

Lightning 53%

Projected Lightning 3.5, Senators 3.2 from opponent-adjusted goals scored and allowed.

Lightning and Senators common opponents · 5

Against the same teams: Lightning went 3–3, Senators went 4–2. The edge compares average margins, as played.

Opponent	Lightning	Senators	Edge
Golden Knights	W 6–2 away, Oct 20	L 1–4 away, Oct 27	TB +7.0
Rangers	L 1–5 away, Oct 1 L 1–4 away, Oct 13	W 7–4 home, Oct 24	OTT +6.5
Flyers	W 4–1 home, Oct 5	W 2–1 home, Oct 8 L 1–3 away, Oct 17	TB +3.5
Predators	L 4–5 away, Oct 31	W 3–2 home, Oct 10	OTT +2.0
Islanders	W 5–3 away, Oct 10	W 2–1 home, Oct 15	TB +1.0