Lightning vs Penguins Prediction

Overall: venue ignored · using games through Nov 2, 2026

35%29

Our pick: Lightning, 65% to win · projected 3.7–3.2

Lightning 75%

Lightning #16 vs Penguins #29 in our rankings (network centrality).

Lightning 72%

Lightning by 2.2 goals here, from 6 comparisons.

Lightning 56%

Projected Lightning 3.7, Penguins 3.2 from opponent-adjusted goals scored and allowed.

Lightning and Penguins common opponents · 6

Against the same teams: Lightning went 3–3, Penguins went 1–6. The edge compares average margins, as played.

Opponent	Lightning	Penguins	Edge
Golden Knights	W 6–2 away, Oct 20	L 2–6 away, Oct 17	TB +8.0
Capitals	W 3–1 home, Oct 3	L 3–5 away, Oct 7	TB +4.0
Jets	W 6–4 home, Oct 29	L 2–3 home, Oct 5	TB +3.0
Predators	L 4–5 away, Oct 31	W 3–2 home, Oct 24	PIT +2.0
Avalanche	L 3–6 away, Oct 23	L 2–5 away, Oct 16	Even
Mammoth	L 4–5 away, Oct 24	L 4–5 away, Oct 19 L 3–4 home, Oct 29	Even