Our rankings
Kraken 51%
Lightning #16 vs Kraken #15 in our rankings (network centrality).
Lightning vs Kraken Prediction
Overall: venue ignored · using games through Nov 2, 2026
Our pick
16
Lightning54%
Lightning54%46%15
Kraken
KrakenOur pick: Lightning, 54% to win · projected 3.7–3.2
Common opponents
Lightning 72%
Lightning by 2.2 goals here, from 6 comparisons.
Efficiency
Lightning 56%
Projected Lightning 3.7, Kraken 3.2 from opponent-adjusted goals scored and allowed.
Lightning vs Kraken head to head this season
- Lightning W 4–3 home, Oct 15
Lightning and Kraken common opponents · 5
Against the same teams: Lightning went 4–1, Kraken went 3–2. The edge compares average margins, as played.
| Opponent | Lightning | Kraken | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
 Golden Knights |
W 6–2 away, Oct 20 | L 2–6 home, Oct 6 | TB +8.0 |
 Wild |
W 3–2 home, Oct 8 | L 1–5 home, Oct 24 | TB +5.0 |
 Mammoth |
L 4–5 away, Oct 24 | W 5–3 home, Oct 22 | SEA +3.0 |
 Flyers |
W 4–1 home, Oct 5 | W 3–2 away, Oct 13 | TB +2.0 |
 Capitals |
W 3–1 home, Oct 3 | W 5–3 away, Oct 11 | Even |