Our rankings
Blues 51%
Lightning #16 vs Blues #12 in our rankings (network centrality).
Lightning vs Blues Prediction
Overall: venue ignored · using games through Nov 2, 2026
Our pick
16
Lightning53%
Lightning53%47%12
Blues
BluesOur pick: Lightning, 53% to win · projected 3.4–3.1
Common opponents
Lightning 65%
Lightning by 1.4 goals here, from 5 comparisons.
Efficiency
Lightning 54%
Projected Lightning 3.4, Blues 3.1 from opponent-adjusted goals scored and allowed.
Lightning and Blues common opponents · 5
Against the same teams: Lightning went 3–2, Blues went 2–3. The edge compares average margins, as played.
| Opponent | Lightning | Blues | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
 Wild |
W 3–2 home, Oct 8 | L 4–5 away, Oct 15 | TB +2.0 |
 Avalanche |
L 3–6 away, Oct 23 | L 1–6 away, Oct 3 | TB +2.0 |
 Predators |
L 4–5 away, Oct 31 | L 2–5 away, Oct 17 | TB +2.0 |
 Jets |
W 6–4 home, Oct 29 | W 2–1 home, Oct 20 | TB +1.0 |
 Golden Knights |
W 6–2 away, Oct 20 | W 6–2 home, Oct 22 | Even |