Lightning vs Maple Leafs Prediction

Overall: venue ignored · using games through Nov 2, 2026

52%3

Our pick: Maple Leafs, 52% to win · projected 3.7–3.4

Maple Leafs 60%

Lightning #16 vs Maple Leafs #3 in our rankings (network centrality).

Maple Leafs 51%

Maple Leafs by 0.1 goals here, from 8 comparisons.

Lightning 54%

Projected Lightning 3.7, Maple Leafs 3.4 from opponent-adjusted goals scored and allowed.

Lightning and Maple Leafs common opponents · 8

Against the same teams: Lightning went 4–5, Maple Leafs went 4–4. The edge compares average margins, as played.

Opponent	Lightning	Maple Leafs	Edge
Avalanche	L 3–6 away, Oct 23	W 6–3 away, Oct 10	TOR +6.0
Islanders	W 5–3 away, Oct 10	L 1–4 home, Oct 17	TB +5.0
Golden Knights	W 6–2 away, Oct 20	L 3–4 away, Oct 8	TB +5.0
Rangers	L 1–5 away, Oct 1 L 1–4 away, Oct 13	W 5–4 home, Oct 22	TOR +4.5
Kraken	W 4–3 home, Oct 15	L 4–5 away, Oct 28	TB +2.0
Predators	L 4–5 away, Oct 31	W 5–4 home, Oct 6	TOR +2.0
Canucks	W 4–2 home, Oct 17	W 4–2 away, Oct 31	Even
Mammoth	L 4–5 away, Oct 24	L 4–5 away, Oct 13	Even