Our rankings
Mammoth 55%
Lightning #16 vs Mammoth #8 in our rankings (network centrality).
Overall: venue ignored · using games through Nov 2, 2026
Toss-up: Lightning by a hair (50.6%) · projected 3.5–3.3
Mammoth 55%
Lightning #16 vs Mammoth #8 in our rankings (network centrality).
Lightning 70%
Lightning by 1.9 goals here, from 5 comparisons.
Lightning 53%
Projected Lightning 3.5, Mammoth 3.3 from opponent-adjusted goals scored and allowed.
Against the same teams: Lightning went 3–2, Mammoth went 0–4. The edge compares average margins, as played.