Our rankings
Maple Leafs 56%
Maple Leafs #3 vs Avalanche #7 in our rankings (network centrality).
Overall: venue ignored · using games through Nov 1, 2026
Toss-up: Avalanche by a hair (50.8%) · projected 3.3–3.9
Maple Leafs 56%
Maple Leafs #3 vs Avalanche #7 in our rankings (network centrality).
Maple Leafs 55%
Maple Leafs by 0.5 goals here, from 3 comparisons.
Avalanche 57%
Projected Maple Leafs 3.3, Avalanche 3.9 from opponent-adjusted goals scored and allowed.
Against the same teams: Maple Leafs went 1–1, Avalanche went 2–1. The edge compares average margins, as played.