Our rankings
Maple Leafs 71%
Maple Leafs #3 vs Red Wings #22 in our rankings (network centrality).
Overall: venue ignored · using games through Nov 2, 2026
Our pick: Maple Leafs, 61% to win · projected 3.5–3.3
Maple Leafs 71%
Maple Leafs #3 vs Red Wings #22 in our rankings (network centrality).
Maple Leafs 58%
Maple Leafs by 0.7 goals here, from 7 comparisons.
Maple Leafs 52%
Projected Maple Leafs 3.5, Red Wings 3.3 from opponent-adjusted goals scored and allowed.
Against the same teams: Maple Leafs went 4–3, Red Wings went 4–4. The edge compares average margins, as played.
| Opponent | Maple Leafs | Red Wings | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| W 7–2 away, Oct 24 | W 4–3 away, Oct 26 | TOR +4.0 | |
| L 2–3 home, Oct 3 | W 5–3 home, Oct 6 | DET +3.0 | |
| W 5–4 home, Oct 22 | L 0–2 home, Oct 2 | TOR +3.0 | |
| W 3–1 home, Oct 19 | W 4–3 home, Oct 17 | TOR +1.0 | |
| L 4–5 away, Oct 28 | L 3–6 home, Oct 9 L 3–4 away, Oct 20 |
TOR +1.0 | |
| W 4–2 away, Oct 31 | W 5–2 away, Oct 22 | DET +1.0 | |
| L 2–5 away, Oct 26 | L 1–4 away, Oct 24 | Even |