Our rankings
Maple Leafs 73%
Maple Leafs #3 vs Canadiens #23 in our rankings (network centrality).
Overall: venue ignored · using games through Nov 2, 2026
Our pick: Maple Leafs, 59% to win · projected 3.4–3.6
Maple Leafs 73%
Maple Leafs #3 vs Canadiens #23 in our rankings (network centrality).
Maple Leafs 67%
Maple Leafs by 1.7 goals here, from 3 comparisons.
Canadiens 52%
Projected Maple Leafs 3.4, Canadiens 3.6 from opponent-adjusted goals scored and allowed.
Against the same teams: Maple Leafs went 2–1, Canadiens went 2–2. The edge compares average margins, as played.