Our rankings
Maple Leafs 54%
Maple Leafs #3 vs Senators #5 in our rankings (network centrality).
Maple Leafs vs Senators Prediction
Overall: venue ignored · using games through Nov 2, 2026
Our pick
3
Maple Leafs51%
Maple Leafs51%49%5
Senators
SenatorsOur pick: Maple Leafs, 51% to win · projected 3.5–3.5
Common opponents
Senators 55%
Senators by 0.5 goals here, from 6 comparisons.
Efficiency
Senators 50%
Projected Maple Leafs 3.5, Senators 3.5 from opponent-adjusted goals scored and allowed.
Maple Leafs vs Senators head to head this season
- Maple Leafs L 2–3 home, Oct 3
Maple Leafs and Senators common opponents · 5
Against the same teams: Maple Leafs went 3–2, Senators went 4–2. The edge compares average margins, as played.
| Opponent | Maple Leafs | Senators | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
 Islanders |
L 1–4 home, Oct 17 | W 2–1 home, Oct 15 | OTT +4.0 |
 Golden Knights |
L 3–4 away, Oct 8 | L 1–4 away, Oct 27 | TOR +2.0 |
 Sharks |
W 3–1 home, Oct 19 | L 2–6 home, Oct 22 W 5–1 away, Oct 31 |
TOR +2.0 |
 Rangers |
W 5–4 home, Oct 22 | W 7–4 home, Oct 24 | OTT +2.0 |
 Predators |
W 5–4 home, Oct 6 | W 3–2 home, Oct 10 | Even |