Our rankings
Maple Leafs 82%
Maple Leafs #3 vs Penguins #29 in our rankings (network centrality).
Maple Leafs vs Penguins Prediction
Overall: venue ignored · using games through Nov 2, 2026
Our pick
3
Maple Leafs67%
Maple Leafs67%33%29
Penguins
PenguinsOur pick: Maple Leafs, 67% to win · projected 3.7–3.5
Common opponents
Maple Leafs 78%
Maple Leafs by 2.8 goals here, from 5 comparisons.
Efficiency
Maple Leafs 53%
Projected Maple Leafs 3.7, Penguins 3.5 from opponent-adjusted goals scored and allowed.
Maple Leafs and Penguins common opponents · 5
Against the same teams: Maple Leafs went 3–2, Penguins went 1–5. The edge compares average margins, as played.
| Opponent | Maple Leafs | Penguins | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
 Avalanche |
W 6–3 away, Oct 10 | L 2–5 away, Oct 16 | TOR +6.0 |
 Blue Jackets |
W 6–2 away, Oct 20 | L 2–3 away, Oct 9 | TOR +5.0 |
 Golden Knights |
L 3–4 away, Oct 8 | L 2–6 away, Oct 17 | TOR +3.0 |
 Predators |
W 5–4 home, Oct 6 | W 3–2 home, Oct 24 | Even |
 Mammoth |
L 4–5 away, Oct 13 | L 4–5 away, Oct 19 L 3–4 home, Oct 29 |
Even |