Our rankings
Maple Leafs 59%
Maple Leafs #3 vs Golden Knights #13 in our rankings (network centrality).
Overall: venue ignored · using games through Nov 1, 2026
Our pick: Maple Leafs, 51% to win · projected 3.4–3.5
Maple Leafs 59%
Maple Leafs #3 vs Golden Knights #13 in our rankings (network centrality).
Golden Knights 70%
Golden Knights by 1.9 goals here, from 7 comparisons.
Golden Knights 52%
Projected Maple Leafs 3.4, Golden Knights 3.5 from opponent-adjusted goals scored and allowed.
Against the same teams: Maple Leafs went 3–3, Golden Knights went 5–1. The edge compares average margins, as played.
| Opponent | Maple Leafs | Golden Knights | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| L 2–5 away, Oct 26 | W 6–2 home, Oct 15 | VGK +7.0 | |
| W 6–2 away, Oct 20 | L 1–2 away, Oct 24 | TOR +5.0 | |
| L 4–5 away, Oct 28 | W 6–2 away, Oct 6 | VGK +5.0 | |
| L 2–3 home, Oct 3 | W 4–1 home, Oct 27 | VGK +4.0 | |
| W 5–4 home, Oct 6 | W 5–2 away, Oct 13 | VGK +2.0 | |
| W 4–2 away, Oct 31 | W 3–2 away, Oct 4 | TOR +1.0 |