Maple Leafs vs Capitals Prediction

Overall: venue ignored · using games through Nov 1, 2026

50%4

Toss-up: Maple Leafs by a hair (50.2%) · projected 3.4–3.6

Maple Leafs 53%

Maple Leafs #3 vs Capitals #4 in our rankings (network centrality).

Capitals 55%

Capitals by 0.5 goals here, from 4 comparisons.

Capitals 51%

Projected Maple Leafs 3.4, Capitals 3.6 from opponent-adjusted goals scored and allowed.

Maple Leafs and Capitals common opponents · 4

Against the same teams: Maple Leafs went 2–2, Capitals went 3–1. The edge compares average margins, as played.

Opponent	Maple Leafs	Capitals	Edge
Sabres	L 4–5 home, Oct 15	W 4–3 home, Oct 24	WSH +2.0
Rangers	W 5–4 home, Oct 22	W 3–1 home, Oct 9	WSH +1.0
Kraken	L 4–5 away, Oct 28	L 3–5 home, Oct 11	TOR +1.0
Predators	W 5–4 home, Oct 6	W 4–3 away, Oct 29	Even