Our rankings
Mammoth 55%
Mammoth #8 vs Lightning #16 in our rankings (network centrality).
Overall: venue ignored · using games through Nov 2, 2026
Toss-up: Lightning by a hair (50.6%) · projected 3.3–3.5
Mammoth 55%
Mammoth #8 vs Lightning #16 in our rankings (network centrality).
Lightning 70%
Lightning by 1.9 goals here, from 5 comparisons.
Lightning 53%
Projected Mammoth 3.3, Lightning 3.5 from opponent-adjusted goals scored and allowed.
Against the same teams: Mammoth went 0–4, Lightning went 3–2. The edge compares average margins, as played.