Our rankings
Capitals 53%
Capitals #4 vs Avalanche #7 in our rankings (network centrality).
Overall: venue ignored · using games through Nov 1, 2026
Toss-up: Avalanche by a hair (50.9%) · projected 3.1–3.5
Capitals 53%
Capitals #4 vs Avalanche #7 in our rankings (network centrality).
Capitals 59%
Capitals by 0.8 goals here, from 5 comparisons.
Avalanche 55%
Projected Capitals 3.1, Avalanche 3.5 from opponent-adjusted goals scored and allowed.
Against the same teams: Capitals went 4–1, Avalanche went 3–3. The edge compares average margins, as played.
| Opponent | Capitals | Avalanche | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| L 1–3 away, Oct 3 | W 6–3 home, Oct 23 | COL +5.0 | |
| W 4–3 away, Oct 29 | L 2–6 away, Oct 25 | WSH +5.0 | |
| W 5–2 home, Oct 28 | L 2–3 away, Oct 19 | WSH +4.0 | |
| W 5–3 home, Oct 7 | W 5–2 home, Oct 16 | COL +1.0 | |
| W 4–2 home, Oct 17 | L 3–4 away, Oct 20 W 5–2 home, Oct 28 |
WSH +1.0 |