Our rankings
Capitals 51%
Capitals #4 vs Senators #5 in our rankings (network centrality).
Overall: venue ignored · using games through Nov 2, 2026
Toss-up: Capitals by a hair (50.7%) · projected 3.3–3.2
Capitals 51%
Capitals #4 vs Senators #5 in our rankings (network centrality).
Senators 51%
Senators by 0.1 goals here, from 5 comparisons.
Capitals 51%
Projected Capitals 3.3, Senators 3.2 from opponent-adjusted goals scored and allowed.
Against the same teams: Capitals went 4–1, Senators went 4–2. The edge compares average margins, as played.
| Opponent | Capitals | Senators | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| W 5–2 home, Oct 28 | W 2–1 home, Oct 8 L 1–3 away, Oct 17 |
WSH +3.5 | |
| L 2–5 home, Oct 20 | L 5–6 away, Oct 29 | OTT +2.0 | |
| W 3–1 home, Oct 9 | W 7–4 home, Oct 24 | OTT +1.0 | |
| W 4–2 home, Oct 17 | W 4–1 away, Oct 12 | OTT +1.0 | |
| W 4–3 away, Oct 29 | W 3–2 home, Oct 10 | Even |