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Capitals vs Maple Leafs Prediction

Overall: venue ignored · using games through Nov 2, 2026

Our pick

Toss-up: Maple Leafs by a hair (50.3%) · projected 3.6–3.4

Our rankings

Maple Leafs 53%

Capitals #4 vs Maple Leafs #3 in our rankings (network centrality).

Common opponents

Capitals 55%

Capitals by 0.5 goals here, from 4 comparisons.

Efficiency

Capitals 51%

Projected Capitals 3.6, Maple Leafs 3.4 from opponent-adjusted goals scored and allowed.

Capitals and Maple Leafs common opponents · 4

Against the same teams: Capitals went 3–1, Maple Leafs went 2–2. The edge compares average margins, as played.

OpponentCapitalsMaple LeafsEdge
Sabres W 4–3 home, Oct 24 L 4–5 home, Oct 15 WSH +2.0
Rangers W 3–1 home, Oct 9 W 5–4 home, Oct 22 WSH +1.0
Kraken L 3–5 home, Oct 11 L 4–5 away, Oct 28 TOR +1.0
Predators W 4–3 away, Oct 29 W 5–4 home, Oct 6 Even