Our rankings
Mercury 65%
Sun #15 vs Mercury #13 in our rankings (network centrality).
Sun vs Mercury Prediction
Overall: venue ignored · using games through Oct 31, 2026
Our pick
Our pick: Mercury, 68% to win · projected 79–86
Common opponents
Mercury 65%
Mercury by 5.6 points here, from 16 comparisons.
Efficiency
Mercury 69%
Projected Sun 79, Mercury 86 from opponent-adjusted points per possession and pace.
Sun vs Mercury head to head this season
- Sun W 96–83 away, Jul 17
- Sun L 63–72 away, Jul 19
- Sun W 75–72 home, Aug 7
Sun and Mercury common opponents · 13
Against the same teams: Sun went 9–32, Mercury went 15–26. The edge compares average margins, as played.
| Opponent | Sun | Mercury | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
 Storm |
L 82–89 home, May 10 W 80–78 away, May 20 L 59–77 away, May 22 |
W 72–68 away, Jun 3 W 93–73 home, Jun 20 W 90–67 home, Jul 2 |
PHX +23.3 |
 Dream |
L 75–91 away, Jun 2 L 69–104 home, Aug 13 L 59–103 away, Sep 17 |
L 80–82 away, May 24 L 82–96 away, Aug 5 L 89–99 home, Aug 22 |
PHX +23.0 |
 Fever |
L 75–85 home, Jun 13 L 88–123 away, Jul 22 L 91–111 away, Aug 28 |
L 77–86 away, Jun 22 W 111–109 away, Jun 24 L 89–92 home, Jul 9 |
PHX +18.3 |
 Valkyries |
L 70–97 away, May 25 L 64–79 home, Jul 10 L 64–89 home, Aug 26 |
L 79–95 away, May 10 L 81–87 away, Jun 9 W 91–89 home, Jul 29 |
PHX +15.7 |
 Wings |
L 83–86 home, Jul 2 L 63–83 away, Aug 2 L 71–97 away, Aug 30 |
L 70–85 away, Jun 11 L 82–87 away, Sep 19 W 87–86 home, Sep 21 |
PHX +10.0 |
 Liberty |
L 75–106 away, May 8 L 80–89 home, Jun 8 L 75–82 home, Aug 15 |
L 74–84 away, May 27 L 68–75 away, May 29 L 92–94 home, Aug 1 |
PHX +9.3 |
 Tempo |
L 102–106 away, Jun 10 L 97–101 home, Jun 19 W 95–81 home, Sep 24 |
L 90–98 home, May 19 W 89–80 away, Jun 27 W 101–69 home, Aug 29 |
PHX +9.0 |
 Aces |
L 69–98 home, May 13 L 94–101 home, May 15 L 78–101 away, Aug 20 |
W 99–66 away, May 9 L 76–86 home, Jun 17 L 58–106 away, Jul 11 L 82–100 home, Sep 24 |
PHX +8.9 |
 Mystics |
L 81–88 home, Jun 17 W 68–57 home, Jun 26 L 84–92 away, Jul 28 L 69–79 away, Sep 22 |
L 75–95 away, Aug 9 L 84–94 home, Aug 25 L 73–80 home, Aug 27 |
CON +8.8 |
 Lynx |
W 90–89 away, Jul 6 L 80–86 home, Jul 8 L 89–101 home, Sep 20 |
L 84–88 home, May 12 L 77–111 home, Jun 1 L 100–104 away, Jul 13 |
CON +8.3 |
 Sky |
L 80–85 away, Jun 5 W 92–63 home, Jun 22 L 88–94 away, Jul 30 W 87–81 home, Aug 25 |
W 91–83 home, May 15 L 66–77 home, Jul 7 W 106–101 away, Aug 3 |
CON +5.3 |
 Fire |
L 82–83 away, May 18 L 61–71 away, May 27 W 90–87 home, Jul 14 |
W 78–72 away, Jun 5 L 85–88 home, Aug 16 W 94–91 away, Sep 17 |
PHX +4.7 |
 Sparks |
W 84–81 home, May 30 W 85–77 home, Aug 18 L 68–77 away, Aug 22 |
L 88–97 home, May 21 L 102–111 home, Jun 13 W 86–82 away, Jul 22 W 94–87 neutral, Aug 11 |
CON +2.4 |