Our rankings
Sparks 56%
Sparks #11 vs Mercury #13 in our rankings (network centrality).
Sparks vs Mercury Prediction
Overall: venue ignored · using games through Oct 31, 2026
Our pick
Our pick: Mercury, 55% to win · projected 87–89
Common opponents
Mercury 52%
Mercury by 0.8 points here, from 17 comparisons.
Efficiency
Mercury 55%
Projected Sparks 87, Mercury 89 from opponent-adjusted points per possession and pace.
Sparks vs Mercury head to head this season
- Sparks W 97–88 away, May 21
- Sparks W 111–102 away, Jun 13
- Sparks L 82–86 home, Jul 22
- Sparks L 87–94 neutral, Aug 11
Sparks and Mercury common opponents · 13
Against the same teams: Sparks went 14–26, Mercury went 14–26. The edge compares average margins, as played.
| Opponent | Sparks | Mercury | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
 Tempo |
W 99–95 home, May 15 L 96–106 home, May 17 L 97–125 away, Jun 25 |
L 90–98 home, May 19 W 89–80 away, Jun 27 W 101–69 home, Aug 29 |
PHX +22.3 |
 Storm |
W 88–83 away, Jun 10 L 64–82 home, Jul 6 W 90–74 away, Aug 30 |
W 72–68 away, Jun 3 W 93–73 home, Jun 20 W 90–67 home, Jul 2 |
PHX +14.7 |
 Mystics |
W 92–87 away, May 29 L 70–80 away, Aug 15 W 88–82 home, Aug 28 |
L 75–95 away, Aug 9 L 84–94 home, Aug 25 L 73–80 home, Aug 27 |
LA +12.7 |
 Fire |
W 89–72 home, Jun 7 W 106–101 away, Aug 2 W 105–84 home, Sep 20 |
W 78–72 away, Jun 5 L 85–88 home, Aug 16 W 94–91 away, Sep 17 |
LA +12.3 |
 Dream |
L 92–101 away, Jul 13 L 88–124 home, Aug 20 L 71–78 home, Aug 24 |
L 80–82 away, May 24 L 82–96 away, Aug 5 L 89–99 home, Aug 22 |
PHX +8.7 |
 Lynx |
L 83–99 home, Jun 17 L 87–96 away, Jul 15 W 89–82 away, Aug 6 |
L 84–88 home, May 12 L 77–111 home, Jun 1 L 100–104 away, Jul 13 |
LA +8.0 |
 Wings |
L 96–104 home, Jun 5 L 82–90 away, Jul 19 L 77–97 away, Sep 17 |
L 70–85 away, Jun 11 L 82–87 away, Sep 19 W 87–86 home, Sep 21 |
PHX +5.7 |
 Liberty |
W 98–97 home, Jun 21 L 109–113 home, Jul 28 L 81–85 away, Aug 13 |
L 74–84 away, May 27 L 68–75 away, May 29 L 92–94 home, Aug 1 |
LA +4.0 |
 Fever |
L 78–87 home, May 13 L 87–111 away, Jun 27 W 106–92 home, Jul 8 |
L 77–86 away, Jun 22 W 111–109 away, Jun 24 L 89–92 home, Jul 9 |
PHX +3.0 |
 Sky |
W 102–87 home, Jul 10 L 82–96 away, Jul 17 L 88–95 away, Aug 5 |
W 91–83 home, May 15 L 66–77 home, Jul 7 W 106–101 away, Aug 3 |
PHX +2.7 |
 Valkyries |
L 58–78 away, Jun 15 L 78–84 home, Aug 9 L 75–76 home, Sep 24 |
L 79–95 away, May 10 L 81–87 away, Jun 9 W 91–89 home, Jul 29 |
PHX +2.3 |
 Sun |
L 81–84 away, May 30 L 77–85 away, Aug 18 W 77–68 home, Aug 22 |
L 83–96 home, Jul 17 W 72–63 home, Jul 19 L 72–75 away, Aug 7 |
LA +1.7 |
 Aces |
L 78–105 home, May 10 W 101–95 away, May 23 L 69–79 home, Jun 2 L 79–89 away, Sep 22 |
W 99–66 away, May 9 L 76–86 home, Jun 17 L 58–106 away, Jul 11 L 82–100 home, Sep 24 |
LA +0.5 |