Our rankings
Liberty 83%
Liberty #4 vs Mercury #13 in our rankings (network centrality).
Overall: venue ignored · using games through Oct 31, 2026
Our pick: Liberty, 65% to win · projected 89–84
Liberty 83%
Liberty #4 vs Mercury #13 in our rankings (network centrality).
Liberty 67%
Liberty by 6.1 points here, from 16 comparisons.
Liberty 65%
Projected Liberty 89, Mercury 84 from opponent-adjusted points per possession and pace.
Against the same teams: Liberty went 26–21, Mercury went 16–25. The edge compares average margins, as played.
| Opponent | Liberty | Mercury | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| W 99–86 home, Jul 3 L 85–90 away, Jul 11 W 93–81 away, Sep 18 W 91–75 away, Sep 27 W 87–71 home, Sep 29 |
L 84–88 home, May 12 L 77–111 home, Jun 1 L 100–104 away, Jul 13 |
NY +24.4 | |
| W 87–76 away, Jun 23 W 93–85 home, Jun 30 L 99–104 away, Jul 30 W 111–71 home, Aug 9 |
W 99–66 away, May 9 L 76–86 home, Jun 17 L 58–106 away, Jul 11 L 82–100 home, Sep 24 |
NY +24.3 | |
| W 98–93 away, May 10 W 86–64 home, Jun 14 L 83–86 home, Jun 19 |
L 75–95 away, Aug 9 L 84–94 home, Aug 25 L 73–80 home, Aug 27 |
NY +20.3 | |
| W 106–75 home, May 8 W 89–80 away, Jun 8 W 82–75 away, Aug 15 |
L 83–96 home, Jul 17 W 72–63 home, Jul 19 L 72–75 away, Aug 7 |
NY +18.0 | |
| L 88–99 away, Jun 25 W 95–83 home, Aug 3 W 92–86 home, Aug 5 |
W 72–68 away, Jun 3 W 93–73 home, Jun 20 W 90–67 home, Jul 2 |
PHX +13.3 | |
| L 70–87 home, May 21 L 67–76 away, Jun 28 L 60–79 home, Aug 27 |
L 79–95 away, May 10 L 81–87 away, Jun 9 W 91–89 home, Jul 29 |
PHX +8.3 | |
| W 97–82 home, Jun 3 L 91–93 away, Jul 12 W 106–69 away, Sep 20 |
L 90–98 home, May 19 W 89–80 away, Jun 27 W 101–69 home, Aug 29 |
NY +5.7 | |
| L 97–98 away, Jun 21 W 113–109 away, Jul 28 W 85–81 home, Aug 13 |
L 88–97 home, May 21 L 102–111 home, Jun 13 W 86–82 away, Jul 22 W 94–87 neutral, Aug 11 |
NY +4.1 | |
| W 104–90 away, Jun 11 L 84–95 home, Sep 21 L 65–83 home, Sep 23 L 82–92 away, Oct 4 L 98–101 away, Oct 7 L 83–85 home, Oct 9 |
L 80–82 away, May 24 L 82–96 away, Aug 5 L 89–99 home, Aug 22 |
NY +3.7 | |
| W 96–95 away, Jun 17 W 95–94 home, Jul 22 L 86–93 away, Aug 18 W 85–66 home, Aug 29 |
W 91–83 home, May 15 L 66–77 home, Jul 7 W 106–101 away, Aug 3 |
NY +2.8 | |
| L 76–91 home, May 24 L 77–88 home, Jul 7 W 99–98 away, Jul 20 |
L 70–85 away, Jun 11 L 82–87 away, Sep 19 W 87–86 home, Sep 21 |
PHX +2.0 | |
| W 83–75 home, Jun 6 L 88–108 away, Jul 18 L 92–106 away, Aug 11 W 109–102 home, Aug 22 |
L 77–86 away, Jun 22 W 111–109 away, Jun 24 L 89–92 home, Jul 9 |
PHX +1.4 | |
| L 96–98 away, May 12 W 100–82 away, May 14 L 74–81 home, May 25 |
W 78–72 away, Jun 5 L 85–88 home, Aug 16 W 94–91 away, Sep 17 |
NY +1.0 |