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Mercury vs Dream Prediction

Overall: venue ignored · using games through Oct 31, 2026

Our pick

Our pick: Dream, 73% to win · projected 81–89

Our rankings

Dream 87%

Mercury #13 vs Dream #1 in our rankings (network centrality).

Common opponents

Dream 76%

Dream by 9.8 points here, from 16 comparisons.

Efficiency

Dream 73%

Projected Mercury 81, Dream 89 from opponent-adjusted points per possession and pace.

Mercury vs Dream head to head this season

Mercury and Dream common opponents · 13

Against the same teams: Mercury went 16–25, Dream went 35–18. The edge compares average margins, as played.

OpponentMercuryDreamEdge
Sun L 83–96 home, Jul 17
W 72–63 home, Jul 19
L 72–75 away, Aug 7
W 91–75 home, Jun 2
W 104–69 away, Aug 13
W 103–59 home, Sep 17
ATL +34.0
Mystics L 75–95 away, Aug 9
L 84–94 home, Aug 25
L 73–80 home, Aug 27
W 109–77 home, Jun 6
L 76–81 away, Jul 2
L 74–79 away, Aug 7
W 92–77 home, Sep 27
W 93–75 away, Sep 30
ATL +23.3
Sparks L 88–97 home, May 21
L 102–111 home, Jun 13
W 86–82 away, Jul 22
W 94–87 neutral, Aug 11
W 101–92 home, Jul 13
W 124–88 away, Aug 20
W 78–71 away, Aug 24
ATL +19.1
Storm W 72–68 away, Jun 3
W 93–73 home, Jun 20
W 90–67 home, Jul 2
L 90–105 away, Jun 27
W 89–78 home, Jul 9
W 98–89 home, Jul 31
PHX +14.0
Wings L 70–85 away, Jun 11
L 82–87 away, Sep 19
W 87–86 home, Sep 21
W 77–72 away, May 12
W 86–69 home, May 22
W 82–81 away, Jul 29
ATL +14.0
Lynx L 84–88 home, May 12
L 77–111 home, Jun 1
L 100–104 away, Jul 13
W 91–90 away, May 9
L 81–96 away, May 27
W 89–81 home, Aug 30
ATL +12.0
Liberty L 74–84 away, May 27
L 68–75 away, May 29
L 92–94 home, Aug 1
L 90–104 home, Jun 11
W 95–84 away, Sep 21
W 83–65 away, Sep 23
W 92–82 home, Oct 4
W 101–98 home, Oct 7
W 85–83 away, Oct 9
ATL +11.3
Sky W 91–83 home, May 15
L 66–77 home, Jul 7
W 106–101 away, Aug 3
W 82–75 away, Jun 9
W 93–91 home, Jul 19
W 106–81 home, Sep 19
ATL +10.7
Aces W 99–66 away, May 9
L 76–86 home, Jun 17
L 58–106 away, Jul 11
L 82–100 home, Sep 24
L 84–85 home, May 17
L 87–109 home, Aug 3
W 97–82 away, Aug 18
ATL +8.1
Valkyries L 79–95 away, May 10
L 81–87 away, Jun 9
W 91–89 home, Jul 29
L 66–77 away, Jun 24
L 75–78 away, Jun 26
L 83–88 home, Jul 4
L 64–68 away, Oct 17
W 79–65 away, Oct 19
W 97–71 home, Oct 21
L 62–67 home, Oct 24
L 55–64 away, Oct 26
W 80–69 home, Oct 29
L 63–68 away, Oct 31
ATL +7.6
Fever L 77–86 away, Jun 22
W 111–109 away, Jun 24
L 89–92 home, Jul 9
L 71–83 away, Jun 4
W 108–101 away, Jun 18
W 113–96 home, Jun 20
L 91–95 home, Aug 16
ATL +5.3
Tempo L 90–98 home, May 19
W 89–80 away, Jun 27
W 101–69 home, Aug 29
W 102–77 away, Jun 14
W 94–87 home, Jun 22
W 111–92 away, Jul 17
W 107–95 home, Aug 10
ATL +4.8
Fire W 78–72 away, Jun 5
L 85–88 home, Aug 16
W 94–91 away, Sep 17
W 86–66 away, May 29
L 92–102 home, Jul 11
L 83–101 home, Aug 28
PHX +4.7