Our rankings
Dream 87%
Mercury #13 vs Dream #1 in our rankings (network centrality).
Overall: venue ignored · using games through Oct 31, 2026
Our pick: Dream, 73% to win · projected 81–89
Dream 87%
Mercury #13 vs Dream #1 in our rankings (network centrality).
Dream 76%
Dream by 9.8 points here, from 16 comparisons.
Dream 73%
Projected Mercury 81, Dream 89 from opponent-adjusted points per possession and pace.
Against the same teams: Mercury went 16–25, Dream went 35–18. The edge compares average margins, as played.
| Opponent | Mercury | Dream | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| L 83–96 home, Jul 17 W 72–63 home, Jul 19 L 72–75 away, Aug 7 |
W 91–75 home, Jun 2 W 104–69 away, Aug 13 W 103–59 home, Sep 17 |
ATL +34.0 | |
| L 75–95 away, Aug 9 L 84–94 home, Aug 25 L 73–80 home, Aug 27 |
W 109–77 home, Jun 6 L 76–81 away, Jul 2 L 74–79 away, Aug 7 W 92–77 home, Sep 27 W 93–75 away, Sep 30 |
ATL +23.3 | |
| L 88–97 home, May 21 L 102–111 home, Jun 13 W 86–82 away, Jul 22 W 94–87 neutral, Aug 11 |
W 101–92 home, Jul 13 W 124–88 away, Aug 20 W 78–71 away, Aug 24 |
ATL +19.1 | |
| W 72–68 away, Jun 3 W 93–73 home, Jun 20 W 90–67 home, Jul 2 |
L 90–105 away, Jun 27 W 89–78 home, Jul 9 W 98–89 home, Jul 31 |
PHX +14.0 | |
| L 70–85 away, Jun 11 L 82–87 away, Sep 19 W 87–86 home, Sep 21 |
W 77–72 away, May 12 W 86–69 home, May 22 W 82–81 away, Jul 29 |
ATL +14.0 | |
| L 84–88 home, May 12 L 77–111 home, Jun 1 L 100–104 away, Jul 13 |
W 91–90 away, May 9 L 81–96 away, May 27 W 89–81 home, Aug 30 |
ATL +12.0 | |
| L 74–84 away, May 27 L 68–75 away, May 29 L 92–94 home, Aug 1 |
L 90–104 home, Jun 11 W 95–84 away, Sep 21 W 83–65 away, Sep 23 W 92–82 home, Oct 4 W 101–98 home, Oct 7 W 85–83 away, Oct 9 |
ATL +11.3 | |
| W 91–83 home, May 15 L 66–77 home, Jul 7 W 106–101 away, Aug 3 |
W 82–75 away, Jun 9 W 93–91 home, Jul 19 W 106–81 home, Sep 19 |
ATL +10.7 | |
| W 99–66 away, May 9 L 76–86 home, Jun 17 L 58–106 away, Jul 11 L 82–100 home, Sep 24 |
L 84–85 home, May 17 L 87–109 home, Aug 3 W 97–82 away, Aug 18 |
ATL +8.1 | |
| L 79–95 away, May 10 L 81–87 away, Jun 9 W 91–89 home, Jul 29 |
L 66–77 away, Jun 24 L 75–78 away, Jun 26 L 83–88 home, Jul 4 L 64–68 away, Oct 17 W 79–65 away, Oct 19 W 97–71 home, Oct 21 L 62–67 home, Oct 24 L 55–64 away, Oct 26 W 80–69 home, Oct 29 L 63–68 away, Oct 31 |
ATL +7.6 | |
| L 77–86 away, Jun 22 W 111–109 away, Jun 24 L 89–92 home, Jul 9 |
L 71–83 away, Jun 4 W 108–101 away, Jun 18 W 113–96 home, Jun 20 L 91–95 home, Aug 16 |
ATL +5.3 | |
| L 90–98 home, May 19 W 89–80 away, Jun 27 W 101–69 home, Aug 29 |
W 102–77 away, Jun 14 W 94–87 home, Jun 22 W 111–92 away, Jul 17 W 107–95 home, Aug 10 |
ATL +4.8 | |
| W 78–72 away, Jun 5 L 85–88 home, Aug 16 W 94–91 away, Sep 17 |
W 86–66 away, May 29 L 92–102 home, Jul 11 L 83–101 home, Aug 28 |
PHX +4.7 |