Our rankings
Fever 82%
Mercury #13 vs Fever #5 in our rankings (network centrality).
Mercury vs Fever Prediction
Overall: venue ignored · using games through Oct 31, 2026
Our pick
Our pick: Fever, 68% to win · projected 88–95
Common opponents
Fever 69%
Fever by 7.2 points here, from 16 comparisons.
Efficiency
Fever 68%
Projected Mercury 88, Fever 95 from opponent-adjusted points per possession and pace.
Mercury vs Fever head to head this season
- Mercury L 77–86 away, Jun 22
- Mercury W 111–109 away, Jun 24
- Mercury L 89–92 home, Jul 9
Mercury and Fever common opponents · 13
Against the same teams: Mercury went 15–26, Fever went 27–17. The edge compares average margins, as played.
| Opponent | Mercury | Fever | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
 Sun |
L 83–96 home, Jul 17 W 72–63 home, Jul 19 L 72–75 away, Aug 7 |
W 85–75 away, Jun 13 W 123–88 home, Jul 22 W 111–91 home, Aug 28 |
IND +24.0 |
 Aces |
W 99–66 away, May 9 L 76–86 home, Jun 17 L 58–106 away, Jul 11 L 82–100 home, Sep 24 |
W 84–68 away, Jul 5 W 109–75 away, Jul 12 L 84–86 home, Aug 6 L 85–102 away, Sep 27 W 99–89 home, Sep 29 L 83–94 away, Oct 1 |
IND +15.8 |
 Liberty |
L 74–84 away, May 27 L 68–75 away, May 29 L 92–94 home, Aug 1 |
L 75–83 away, Jun 6 W 108–88 home, Jul 18 W 106–92 home, Aug 11 L 102–109 away, Aug 22 |
IND +11.1 |
 Lynx |
L 84–88 home, May 12 L 77–111 home, Jun 1 L 100–104 away, Jul 13 |
L 100–108 away, Aug 2 W 96–77 home, Sep 22 L 66–86 away, Sep 24 |
IND +11.0 |
 Sky |
W 91–83 home, May 15 L 66–77 home, Jul 7 W 106–101 away, Aug 3 |
W 114–106 home, Jun 11 W 90–86 away, Aug 8 W 113–90 away, Aug 23 |
IND +11.0 |
 Sparks |
L 88–97 home, May 21 L 102–111 home, Jun 13 W 86–82 away, Jul 22 W 94–87 neutral, Aug 11 |
W 87–78 away, May 13 W 111–87 home, Jun 27 L 92–106 away, Jul 8 |
IND +8.1 |
 Storm |
W 72–68 away, Jun 3 W 93–73 home, Jun 20 W 90–67 home, Jul 2 |
W 89–78 home, May 17 W 110–107 home, Jul 17 W 105–95 away, Jul 28 |
PHX +7.7 |
 Mystics |
L 75–95 away, Aug 9 L 84–94 home, Aug 25 L 73–80 home, Aug 27 |
L 102–104 home, May 15 W 78–76 away, Jun 8 L 77–93 home, Sep 20 |
IND +7.0 |
 Wings |
L 70–85 away, Jun 11 L 82–87 away, Sep 19 W 87–86 home, Sep 21 |
L 104–107 home, May 9 W 98–87 home, Aug 14 L 85–91 away, Aug 20 |
IND +7.0 |
 Dream |
L 80–82 away, May 24 L 82–96 away, Aug 5 L 89–99 home, Aug 22 |
W 83–71 home, Jun 4 L 101–108 home, Jun 18 L 96–113 away, Jun 20 W 95–91 away, Aug 16 |
IND +6.7 |
 Valkyries |
L 79–95 away, May 10 L 81–87 away, Jun 9 W 91–89 home, Jul 29 |
W 90–82 home, May 22 L 88–90 away, May 28 L 75–88 home, Jul 15 |
IND +4.3 |
 Tempo |
L 90–98 home, May 19 W 89–80 away, Jun 27 W 101–69 home, Aug 29 |
W 113–91 home, Jun 16 W 101–95 away, Aug 18 W 103–85 away, Sep 18 |
IND +4.3 |
 Fire |
W 78–72 away, Jun 5 L 85–88 home, Aug 16 W 94–91 away, Sep 17 |
W 90–73 home, May 20 L 84–100 away, May 30 W 112–98 away, Jul 31 |
IND +3.0 |