Our rankings
Aces 83%
Mercury #13 vs Aces #3 in our rankings (network centrality).
Mercury vs Aces Prediction
Overall: venue ignored · using games through Oct 31, 2026
Our pick
Our pick: Aces, 68% to win · projected 84–90
Common opponents
Aces 73%
Aces by 8.5 points here, from 17 comparisons.
Efficiency
Aces 68%
Projected Mercury 84, Aces 90 from opponent-adjusted points per possession and pace.
Mercury vs Aces head to head this season
- Mercury W 99–66 away, May 9
- Mercury L 76–86 home, Jun 17
- Mercury L 58–106 away, Jul 11
- Mercury L 82–100 home, Sep 24
Mercury and Aces common opponents · 13
Against the same teams: Mercury went 15–25, Aces went 30–17. The edge compares average margins, as played.
| Opponent | Mercury | Aces | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
 Sun |
L 83–96 home, Jul 17 W 72–63 home, Jul 19 L 72–75 away, Aug 7 |
W 98–69 away, May 13 W 101–94 away, May 15 W 101–78 home, Aug 20 |
LV +22.0 |
 Mystics |
L 75–95 away, Aug 9 L 84–94 home, Aug 25 L 73–80 home, Aug 27 |
L 99–100 away, Jul 22 W 86–76 home, Aug 11 W 83–76 home, Aug 13 |
LV +17.7 |
 Sparks |
L 88–97 home, May 21 L 102–111 home, Jun 13 W 86–82 away, Jul 22 W 94–87 neutral, Aug 11 |
W 105–78 away, May 10 L 95–101 home, May 23 W 79–69 away, Jun 2 W 89–79 home, Sep 22 |
LV +12.0 |
 Dream |
L 80–82 away, May 24 L 82–96 away, Aug 5 L 89–99 home, Aug 22 |
W 85–84 away, May 17 W 109–87 away, Aug 3 L 82–97 home, Aug 18 |
LV +11.3 |
 Fire |
W 78–72 away, Jun 5 L 85–88 home, Aug 16 W 94–91 away, Sep 17 |
W 105–89 away, Jun 11 W 88–80 away, Jul 9 W 98–83 home, Jul 28 |
LV +11.0 |
 Lynx |
L 84–88 home, May 12 L 77–111 home, Jun 1 L 100–104 away, Jul 13 |
W 100–97 home, Jun 13 L 87–98 away, Aug 8 L 87–92 home, Aug 15 |
LV +9.7 |
 Valkyries |
L 79–95 away, May 10 L 81–87 away, Jun 9 W 91–89 home, Jul 29 |
W 91–81 away, May 31 W 84–79 home, Jun 6 W 92–73 home, Jun 21 L 60–71 away, Oct 4 L 81–83 away, Oct 7 L 77–87 home, Oct 9 |
LV +8.5 |
 Tempo |
L 90–98 home, May 19 W 89–80 away, Jun 27 W 101–69 home, Aug 29 |
W 109–83 away, Jul 20 W 88–78 away, Aug 23 W 93–73 home, Aug 28 |
LV +7.7 |
 Liberty |
L 74–84 away, May 27 L 68–75 away, May 29 L 92–94 home, Aug 1 |
L 76–87 home, Jun 23 L 85–93 away, Jun 30 W 104–99 home, Jul 30 L 71–111 away, Aug 9 |
PHX +7.2 |
 Storm |
W 72–68 away, Jun 3 W 93–73 home, Jun 20 W 90–67 home, Jul 2 |
W 101–91 home, Jun 8 W 114–77 away, Sep 17 W 98–77 home, Sep 20 |
LV +7.0 |
 Sky |
W 91–83 home, May 15 L 66–77 home, Jul 7 W 106–101 away, Aug 3 |
W 107–99 away, Jun 28 W 98–90 home, Jul 3 L 83–84 away, Aug 1 |
LV +4.3 |
 Fever |
L 77–86 away, Jun 22 W 111–109 away, Jun 24 L 89–92 home, Jul 9 |
L 68–84 home, Jul 5 L 75–109 home, Jul 12 W 86–84 away, Aug 6 W 102–85 home, Sep 27 L 89–99 away, Sep 29 W 94–83 home, Oct 1 |
PHX +1.7 |
 Wings |
L 70–85 away, Jun 11 L 82–87 away, Sep 19 W 87–86 home, Sep 21 |
L 87–95 away, May 28 L 66–96 away, Jun 15 W 99–84 home, Jun 25 |
PHX +1.3 |