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Mercury vs Liberty Prediction

Overall: venue ignored · using games through Oct 31, 2026

Our pick

Our pick: Liberty, 65% to win · projected 84–89

Our rankings

Liberty 83%

Mercury #13 vs Liberty #4 in our rankings (network centrality).

Common opponents

Liberty 67%

Liberty by 6.1 points here, from 16 comparisons.

Efficiency

Liberty 65%

Projected Mercury 84, Liberty 89 from opponent-adjusted points per possession and pace.

Mercury vs Liberty head to head this season

Mercury and Liberty common opponents · 13

Against the same teams: Mercury went 16–25, Liberty went 26–21. The edge compares average margins, as played.

OpponentMercuryLibertyEdge
Lynx L 84–88 home, May 12
L 77–111 home, Jun 1
L 100–104 away, Jul 13
W 99–86 home, Jul 3
L 85–90 away, Jul 11
W 93–81 away, Sep 18
W 91–75 away, Sep 27
W 87–71 home, Sep 29
NY +24.4
Aces W 99–66 away, May 9
L 76–86 home, Jun 17
L 58–106 away, Jul 11
L 82–100 home, Sep 24
W 87–76 away, Jun 23
W 93–85 home, Jun 30
L 99–104 away, Jul 30
W 111–71 home, Aug 9
NY +24.3
Mystics L 75–95 away, Aug 9
L 84–94 home, Aug 25
L 73–80 home, Aug 27
W 98–93 away, May 10
W 86–64 home, Jun 14
L 83–86 home, Jun 19
NY +20.3
Sun L 83–96 home, Jul 17
W 72–63 home, Jul 19
L 72–75 away, Aug 7
W 106–75 home, May 8
W 89–80 away, Jun 8
W 82–75 away, Aug 15
NY +18.0
Storm W 72–68 away, Jun 3
W 93–73 home, Jun 20
W 90–67 home, Jul 2
L 88–99 away, Jun 25
W 95–83 home, Aug 3
W 92–86 home, Aug 5
PHX +13.3
Valkyries L 79–95 away, May 10
L 81–87 away, Jun 9
W 91–89 home, Jul 29
L 70–87 home, May 21
L 67–76 away, Jun 28
L 60–79 home, Aug 27
PHX +8.3
Tempo L 90–98 home, May 19
W 89–80 away, Jun 27
W 101–69 home, Aug 29
W 97–82 home, Jun 3
L 91–93 away, Jul 12
W 106–69 away, Sep 20
NY +5.7
Sparks L 88–97 home, May 21
L 102–111 home, Jun 13
W 86–82 away, Jul 22
W 94–87 neutral, Aug 11
L 97–98 away, Jun 21
W 113–109 away, Jul 28
W 85–81 home, Aug 13
NY +4.1
Dream L 80–82 away, May 24
L 82–96 away, Aug 5
L 89–99 home, Aug 22
W 104–90 away, Jun 11
L 84–95 home, Sep 21
L 65–83 home, Sep 23
L 82–92 away, Oct 4
L 98–101 away, Oct 7
L 83–85 home, Oct 9
NY +3.7
Sky W 91–83 home, May 15
L 66–77 home, Jul 7
W 106–101 away, Aug 3
W 96–95 away, Jun 17
W 95–94 home, Jul 22
L 86–93 away, Aug 18
W 85–66 home, Aug 29
NY +2.8
Wings L 70–85 away, Jun 11
L 82–87 away, Sep 19
W 87–86 home, Sep 21
L 76–91 home, May 24
L 77–88 home, Jul 7
W 99–98 away, Jul 20
PHX +2.0
Fever L 77–86 away, Jun 22
W 111–109 away, Jun 24
L 89–92 home, Jul 9
W 83–75 home, Jun 6
L 88–108 away, Jul 18
L 92–106 away, Aug 11
W 109–102 home, Aug 22
PHX +1.4
Fire W 78–72 away, Jun 5
L 85–88 home, Aug 16
W 94–91 away, Sep 17
L 96–98 away, May 12
W 100–82 away, May 14
L 74–81 home, May 25
NY +1.0