Our rankings
Mystics 67%
Mercury #13 vs Mystics #9 in our rankings (network centrality).
Mercury vs Mystics Prediction
Overall: venue ignored · using games through Oct 31, 2026
Our pick
Our pick: Mystics, 55% to win · projected 82–83
Common opponents
Mystics 62%
Mystics by 4.2 points here, from 16 comparisons.
Efficiency
Mystics 54%
Projected Mercury 82, Mystics 83 from opponent-adjusted points per possession and pace.
Mercury vs Mystics head to head this season
- Mercury L 75–95 away, Aug 9
- Mercury L 84–94 home, Aug 25
- Mercury L 73–80 home, Aug 27
Mercury and Mystics common opponents · 13
Against the same teams: Mercury went 16–25, Mystics went 25–18. The edge compares average margins, as played.
| Opponent | Mercury | Mystics | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
 Sky |
W 91–83 home, May 15 L 66–77 home, Jul 7 W 106–101 away, Aug 3 |
W 90–72 home, Jun 2 W 110–80 away, Sep 17 W 101–93 home, Sep 24 |
WSH +18.0 |
 Storm |
W 72–68 away, Jun 3 W 93–73 home, Jun 20 W 90–67 home, Jul 2 |
L 85–97 away, May 24 W 78–64 away, May 27 W 84–79 home, Jul 12 |
PHX +13.3 |
 Lynx |
L 84–88 home, May 12 L 77–111 home, Jun 1 L 100–104 away, Jul 13 |
W 84–79 away, Jun 21 L 76–78 home, Jun 24 L 84–94 home, Aug 21 |
WSH +11.7 |
 Fever |
L 77–86 away, Jun 22 W 111–109 away, Jun 24 L 89–92 home, Jul 9 |
W 104–102 away, May 15 L 76–78 home, Jun 8 W 93–77 away, Sep 20 |
WSH +8.7 |
 Fire |
W 78–72 away, Jun 5 L 85–88 home, Aug 16 W 94–91 away, Sep 17 |
W 124–123 home, Jun 28 L 56–75 home, Jul 16 W 105–100 away, Aug 23 |
PHX +6.3 |
 Sun |
L 83–96 home, Jul 17 W 72–63 home, Jul 19 L 72–75 away, Aug 7 |
W 88–81 away, Jun 17 L 57–68 away, Jun 26 W 92–84 home, Jul 28 W 79–69 home, Sep 22 |
WSH +5.8 |
 Aces |
W 99–66 away, May 9 L 76–86 home, Jun 17 L 58–106 away, Jul 11 L 82–100 home, Sep 24 |
W 100–99 home, Jul 22 L 76–86 away, Aug 11 L 76–83 away, Aug 13 |
WSH +5.4 |
 Valkyries |
L 79–95 away, May 10 L 81–87 away, Jun 9 W 91–89 home, Jul 29 |
L 49–62 home, Jul 6 L 69–74 away, Jul 18 W 90–82 away, Jul 20 |
WSH +3.3 |
 Tempo |
L 90–98 home, May 19 W 89–80 away, Jun 27 W 101–69 home, Aug 29 |
W 68–65 away, May 8 W 86–85 home, Jun 12 W 79–62 away, Jul 14 W 93–82 home, Aug 19 |
PHX +3.0 |
 Dream |
L 80–82 away, May 24 L 82–96 away, Aug 5 L 89–99 home, Aug 22 |
L 77–109 away, Jun 6 W 81–76 home, Jul 2 W 79–74 home, Aug 7 L 77–92 away, Sep 27 L 75–93 home, Sep 30 |
PHX +2.3 |
 Wings |
L 70–85 away, Jun 11 L 82–87 away, Sep 19 W 87–86 home, Sep 21 |
L 69–92 away, May 18 W 81–75 home, Jul 31 W 96–92 home, Aug 5 |
WSH +2.0 |
 Liberty |
L 74–84 away, May 27 L 68–75 away, May 29 L 92–94 home, Aug 1 |
L 93–98 home, May 10 L 64–86 away, Jun 14 W 86–83 away, Jun 19 |
PHX +1.7 |
 Sparks |
L 88–97 home, May 21 L 102–111 home, Jun 13 W 86–82 away, Jul 22 W 94–87 neutral, Aug 11 |
L 87–92 home, May 29 W 80–70 home, Aug 15 L 82–88 away, Aug 28 |
WSH +1.4 |