Our rankings
Fire 68%
Fire #8 vs Mercury #13 in our rankings (network centrality).
Fire vs Mercury Prediction
Overall: venue ignored · using games through Oct 31, 2026
Our pick
Our pick: Mercury, 56% to win · projected 87–88
Common opponents
Mercury 55%
Mercury by 1.7 points here, from 16 comparisons.
Efficiency
Mercury 56%
Projected Fire 87, Mercury 88 from opponent-adjusted points per possession and pace.
Fire vs Mercury head to head this season
- Fire L 72–78 home, Jun 5
- Fire W 88–85 away, Aug 16
- Fire L 91–94 home, Sep 17
Fire and Mercury common opponents · 13
Against the same teams: Fire went 16–25, Mercury went 14–27. The edge compares average margins, as played.
| Opponent | Fire | Mercury | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
 Sky |
L 83–98 home, May 9 L 78–101 away, Jun 24 L 94–124 away, Jun 26 |
W 91–83 home, May 15 L 66–77 home, Jul 7 W 106–101 away, Aug 3 |
PHX +23.3 |
 Mystics |
L 123–124 away, Jun 28 W 75–56 away, Jul 16 L 100–105 home, Aug 23 |
L 75–95 away, Aug 9 L 84–94 home, Aug 25 L 73–80 home, Aug 27 |
POR +16.7 |
 Sparks |
L 72–89 away, Jun 7 L 101–106 home, Aug 2 L 84–105 away, Sep 20 |
L 88–97 home, May 21 L 102–111 home, Jun 13 W 86–82 away, Jul 22 W 94–87 neutral, Aug 11 |
PHX +12.6 |
 Dream |
L 66–86 home, May 29 W 102–92 away, Jul 11 W 101–83 away, Aug 28 |
L 80–82 away, May 24 L 82–96 away, Aug 5 L 89–99 home, Aug 22 |
POR +11.3 |
 Storm |
W 94–89 home, Jun 17 W 77–72 away, Jul 4 W 100–93 home, Aug 8 W 84–82 away, Aug 14 |
W 72–68 away, Jun 3 W 93–73 home, Jun 20 W 90–67 home, Jul 2 |
PHX +10.9 |
 Sun |
W 83–82 home, May 18 W 71–61 home, May 27 L 87–90 away, Jul 14 |
L 83–96 home, Jul 17 W 72–63 home, Jul 19 L 72–75 away, Aug 7 |
POR +5.0 |
 Valkyries |
L 77–95 away, Jun 2 L 69–86 home, Aug 30 L 66–82 away, Sep 18 W 90–82 home, Sep 22 |
L 79–95 away, May 10 L 81–87 away, Jun 9 W 91–89 home, Jul 29 |
PHX +4.1 |
 Liberty |
W 98–96 home, May 12 L 82–100 home, May 14 W 81–74 away, May 25 |
L 74–84 away, May 27 L 68–75 away, May 29 L 92–94 home, Aug 1 |
POR +3.3 |
 Aces |
L 89–105 home, Jun 11 L 80–88 home, Jul 9 L 83–98 away, Jul 28 |
W 99–66 away, May 9 L 76–86 home, Jun 17 L 58–106 away, Jul 11 L 82–100 home, Sep 24 |
PHX +2.3 |
 Fever |
L 73–90 away, May 20 W 100–84 home, May 30 L 98–112 home, Jul 31 |
L 77–86 away, Jun 22 W 111–109 away, Jun 24 L 89–92 home, Jul 9 |
PHX +1.7 |
 Tempo |
W 99–80 away, May 23 W 97–83 home, Aug 6 L 79–82 away, Aug 21 |
L 90–98 home, May 19 W 89–80 away, Jun 27 W 101–69 home, Aug 29 |
PHX +1.0 |
 Lynx |
L 74–107 away, Jun 15 L 93–101 away, Jul 18 L 81–85 home, Aug 12 |
L 84–88 home, May 12 L 77–111 home, Jun 1 L 100–104 away, Jul 13 |
PHX +1.0 |
 Wings |
W 84–83 home, Jun 13 L 97–101 home, Jul 22 L 78–96 away, Aug 25 |
L 70–85 away, Jun 11 L 82–87 away, Sep 19 W 87–86 home, Sep 21 |
PHX +0.7 |